Conf = Centennial
Nickname = PA Bullets Coach = Peter ToneGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.6853561 home-field advantage = -0.47 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Lynchburg ODAC (11- 5, 96.1) 15-10 224 A Salisbury CLC (17- 0, 99.4) 8-14 302 H Stevenson MAC-Commonwlt (10- 6, 93.5) 11- 9 309 H Washington & Lee ODAC (13- 3, 95.4) 8-15 316 H Denison NCAC (11- 5, 92.5) 13- 7 320 H Amherst NESCAC (10- 5, 96.9) 8- 9 323 A Ursinus Centennial ( 7- 8, 91.0) 14- 9 327 H McDaniel Centennial ( 6- 9, 86.1) 14- 5 330 H Haverford Centennial ( 7- 8, 89.3) 19- 5 403 H York MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 7, 94.9) 15-10 406 A Swarthmore Centennial (13- 1, 95.8) 9-13 410 H Franklin & Marshall Centennial ( 7-10, 90.6) 8- 5 413 H Muhlenberg Centennial (10- 7, 92.8) 11-12 417 A Dickinson Centennial (13- 2, 95.2) 8-12 427 A Washington College Centennial ( 5-10, 89.5)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Lynchburg 15-10 5 0 ++ 5.92 224 A Salisbury 8-14 -6 -5 -0.83 302 H Stevenson 11- 9 2 1 0.32 309 H Washington & Lee 8-15 -7 0 --- -6.79 316 H Denison 13- 7 6 2 + 3.31 320 H Amherst 8- 9 -1 -1 0.76 323 A Ursinus 14- 9 5 3 1.83 327 H McDaniel 14- 5 9 9 0.00 330 H Haverford 19- 5 14 5 1.16 403 H York 15-10 5 0 ++ 4.71 406 A Swarthmore 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.39 410 H Franklin & Marshall 8- 5 3 4 -1.56 413 H Muhlenberg 11-12 -1 2 - -3.37 417 A Dickinson 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.99UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 94.68 Power Rank................. 21 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 84.78 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 10 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7102 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 9 RPI Rating............... .6304 RPI Rank................... 25 Champ. Probability ...... 1.5 Championship Rank ......... 16 Selection sum ........... 78 Selection Rank ............ 19 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -40. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 45 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -30. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 44 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7